Like Masks, Lockdowns Simply Don’t Work
Experience has shown that communities faced with epidemics or other adverse events respond best and with the least anxiety when the normal social functioning of the community is least disrupted.Institute of Medicine 2006. Modeling Community Containment for Pandemic Influenza: A Letter Report. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. https://doi.org/10.17226/11800. (PDF)
This graph from the London Financial Times tells the whole story. The United Kingdom has implemented some of the strongest lockdowns in the world, while Sweden didn’t lock down at all. And look at the curves….they are the same shape, and in fact, the U.K. death rates are worse!
After an exhaustive examination of data from all over the world, Stanford University could “find no clear, significant beneficial effect of ‘lockdowns’ on case growth in any country.”
Research continues to show that the mortality impact of economic shutdowns far exceeds that related to the acute COVID-19 critical illness. A recent paper from the National Bureau of Economic Research, projects that the unemployment resulting from the COVID-19 shutdowns will lead to nearly 1 million excess deaths in the U.S. over the next 15 years.
- Paper 1 – The Long-Term Impact of the COVID-19 Unemployment Shock on Life Expectancy and Mortality Rates
- (NBER working paper)
One of the biggest tragedies of this over-reaction is the damage it is doing to school age children whose education is being irreparably harmed by “virtual learning” which isn’t really “learning” at all. Data from the CDC shows that more school age children have died from the flu than from COVID-19. And yet, we continue the fiction that it is somehow unsafe for our children to return to school. In doing so, we are ruining our children’s education.
According to the CDC, “for children (0-17), cumulative COVID-19 hospitalization rates are MUCH lower than cumulative influenza hospitalization rates at comparable time points during recent influenza seasons.” This is simply NOT a virus that young people need to be concerned about.
In fact, if we compare pediatric cases in Florida (possibly the most open state), with California (the most closed) we see that California has a higher COVID case rate among children than does Florida where kids are with each other all day at school!
In large part, Europe has completely re-opened their schools with no significant COVID impact. French Education Minister Jean-Michel Blanquer has it right…..
Not everything should be destroyed by the health situation … We must be vigilant, but not forget the educational and social imperatives, nor deviate from our two objectives: improving the educational level of each child and reducing inequalities.